Monday, August 12, 2013

T.J. 8-12-13 Grain Report

The long waited USDA grain report came out today. It lowered stocks and production estimate for soy bean and corn. Soybean's price jumped over 40 cents and corn up 11C. I entered a corn put sell order in the heat of the movement. I made the direction of the trade right by waiting for the price break previous day's high and pull back. I also made mistakes in fear of missing the bus. I didn't give a far enough OTM for an entry to be safe. Instead I just simply added to my 650 position which is only about 10 point away. 2nd, I didn't use option's chart to get a good entry price. I left about $100 room there. I need to force myself stay away from my trade station during market's big events.

ES traded in a range bound today. It touched my lower trend line overnight and bounced to the upper trend line by end of the session. It was a methodical move in a slightly down trend. ES still under BBD/M. I may have to get of my 1645 position if ES can cross up the mid line.  It has 4 days and 40 points left. I wouldn't consider it very safe at this point.


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