Monday, April 20, 2015

A Pull Back or Resume? 4-20-15

My plan:

Indices opened up on Sunday night. It's backed to the valley of current CHVA. ES may be chopping to fill in this valley of 2082-2095. My scalp of SPX 2010/2080 looks safe for now. I placed an order to exit half of it at 0.05. Indices drove up in one direction after open. I may sell bear calls in anticipation of a unlikely new high insight.
I have to leave by noon to drop a relative at airport.

Grains are still chopping around, no more sell off at least. Weather is wet. I plan to deal with the rollover tomorrow.

My execution:

Indices popped up right off of the gate. ES/SPX didn't have a pull back until 2pm. The valley of 2086-97 was filled. It's hard to tell where they would go from here. My bias is leaning towards upside base on the formation of a IHS and volume profile. I didn't have any new positions filled today. Closed this week's RUT puts and calls and the only ES.

Grains chopped as I expected. Wheat closed at Friday's high which is encouraging. Export sales were not strong. Wet ground across most of growing region may pressure corn and wheat prices further. I will start rollover tomorrow.  

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